In plain words
During a project the scope often changes (variations), or the contractor demands extra money for delays caused by the client (claims). The question is whether these amounts count as revenue before the client formally agrees. The contractor estimates them but includes in revenue only the amount that is highly probable not to be reversed later. The estimate is reassessed each period as negotiations progress and adjusted on settlement.
Why it matters
Treating a submitted but unapproved claim or variation as certain revenue is one of the most common ways construction companies overstate profit: it front-loads margin that may never be collected, misleads lenders and sureties who rely on backlog and margin figures, and creates a painful reversal (and possible restatement) if negotiations or arbitration ultimately fail. Conversely, refusing to recognize any variation revenue until final settlement understates performance and can distort bid/no-bid and resourcing decisions on future work.
Diagnostic questions
Has the customer approved the scope, the price, or both for this change order or claim, even orally or through consistent past conduct? Is there a reliable basis to estimate the amount using the expected value or most likely amount method? Is it highly probable that a significant reversal of cumulative revenue will not occur once the claim or variation is finally resolved? Is the claim enforceable under the contract terms and applicable local law?
Recognition
- Classify the item first: is it an agreed scope change awaiting price agreement, a priced variation awaiting formal approval, or a contested claim (e.g. for prolongation, disruption or acceleration)?
- For scope agreed but price unresolved, recognize costs as incurred and estimate transaction price using expected value or most likely amount, applying the constraint.
- For claims, assess enforceability under the contract and applicable law, and whether there is a reliable basis to estimate the amount.
- Apply the constraint: include in the transaction price only the amount for which it is highly probable a significant revenue reversal will not occur when the uncertainty is resolved.
- Reassess the constrained amount every reporting period as negotiations, expert reports, or arbitration proceedings progress, do not leave a stale estimate in place.
- On formal approval or settlement, true up the transaction price and record any cumulative catch-up in the period of change.
Measurement
Use the expected value method (probability-weighted outcomes) when the entity has a large number of similar claims/variations, or the most likely amount when the outcome is essentially binary (win/lose a specific claim). Discount the estimate for the time value of money only if settlement is expected significantly beyond normal terms. Reassess at each reporting date and disclose the sensitivity of the estimate where the amount included is material and finely balanced.
Presentation & disclosure
Disclose: (1) nature, status and amount of significant unresolved claims and variations; (2) the method used to estimate variable consideration (expected value or most likely amount) and how the constraint was applied; (3) amount of revenue recognized in the period relating to changes in transaction price from prior periods; (4) qualitative description of the main sources of estimation uncertainty (e.g. arbitration in progress); (5) accounting policy for distinguishing claims from priced variations.
Common mistakes
- Booking the full claim value on submission to the client or engineer without assessing the constraint
- recognizing costs of disputed variation work while deferring all revenue indefinitely instead of reassessing the constraint each period
- treating an engineer'
- s provisional or '
- without prejudice'
- certification as final approval
- not distinguishing claims (adversarial, uncertain) from agreed scope variations awaiting only price negotiation (much higher probability of recovery)
- double counting the same claim amount in both the contractor'
- s revenue estimate and a separate contingent asset disclosure.
Simple example
A contractor submits a SAR 6,000,000 claim for prolongation costs after an employer-caused delay. Negotiations are at an early stage with no independent legal opinion; management assesses that only SAR 1,500,000 is highly probable of recovery (the balance is constrained). The contractor has already incurred and expensed the underlying prolongation costs of SAR 1,500,000 as period costs. Journal entry to recognize the constrained claim amount as additional transaction price/revenue: Dr Contract asset (unbilled claim receivable) 1,500,000 Cr Revenue from construction contracts 1,500,000 Six months later, the engineer certifies SAR 2,200,000 of the claim as valid; the constraint is reassessed and now SAR 2,200,000 is highly probable. The incremental SAR 700,000 is recognized: Dr Contract asset 700,000 Cr Revenue from construction contracts 700,000
Professional judgment
Estimating the 'highly probable no significant reversal' threshold for claims in negotiation or arbitration is one of the most contentious judgments in the sector: it depends on the strength of contractual entitlement, quality of contemporaneous records (delay analysis, notices given within contractual time bars), and the counterparty's payment history and appetite to settle versus litigate. Practitioners can reasonably disagree, and management's natural optimism bias should be checked against independent legal or quantum expert opinion for material claims. A claim that clears the contractual notice/time-bar requirements is far stronger than one that does not, and this procedural point is often more decisive than the technical merits of the underlying delay event.
Source basis
IFRS 15 · Revenue from Contracts with Customers
Paragraph references
Verified against the official standard texts used in the IFRS Expert skill.
Related issues
- IFRS 15Over-time revenue recognition and progress measurement
- IFRS 15 / IFRS 9Retentions, advances and contract balances
- IFRS 15Mobilization and contract fulfilment costs
- IFRS 15Significant financing component in contract consideration
- IFRS 15Principal versus agent in subcontracted scope
- IFRS 15Combining and segmenting construction contracts
Educational and navigation content only. Not professional advice. Does not reproduce official IFRS/IAS text. Consult the authoritative standards and qualified professionals; professional judgment may still be required.
