In plain words
The client may approve a scope change before its price is agreed, or the contractor may claim extra money, for example for delays. The question is when these amounts become revenue. Amounts not yet agreed are variable consideration, included only to the extent it is highly probable that a significant reversal will not occur later. This is a higher bar than "probable". Disputed claims without strong evidence, such as engineer records or client acknowledgment, stay out of revenue and are disclosed if material.
Why it matters
Unpriced variations and claims are variable consideration recognized only to the extent a later revenue reversal is highly improbable, so this is the sector's leading earnings-quality red flag: aggressive claim recognition can materially overstate current-period revenue and margin on amounts that may never be collected. Getting it wrong creates a real risk of a future revenue reversal and restated results once disputes are actually resolved.
Diagnostic questions
Is the variation's scope approved in writing, and is pricing agreed, or does it remain unpriced and disputed? For claims, is there contractual entitlement, engineer certification, or a customer history of settling similar claims supporting recognition? Is variable consideration constrained to the amount for which a significant revenue reversal is highly probable not to occur, rather than the full amount claimed? Is the constraint reassessed every period as new facts (partial agreement, arbitration progress) emerge, with a cumulative catch-up applied when a variation or claim is settled?
Recognition
1) Identify the trigger: is this a variation order (change in scope and/or price agreed or being agreed with the customer) or a claim (an amount the contractor seeks to recover that is not part of the originally agreed price, e.g. for delay, disruption, or extra work not yet formally instructed)? 2) For variations: determine if the modification creates a separate contract (distinct additional goods/services priced at standalone selling price) or is combined with the existing contract; most in-scope variations to a single construction contract are combined, not separate contracts. 3) If scope is approved but price is not yet agreed, estimate the variable consideration using the expected-value or most-likely-amount method, then apply the constraint: include only the amount for which it is highly probable a significant revenue reversal will not occur. 4) For claims, assess entitlement using contractual clauses, legal advice, and the customer's acknowledgment/history of settling similar claims before including any amount in transaction price; document the entitlement evidence per claim. 5) Track claims not yet meeting the recognition threshold as unrecognized (disclosed if material), do not recognize revenue for merely 'probable' claims lacking persuasive evidence of customer agreement. 6) Reassess the constraint every period as new facts emerge (partial agreement, expert determination, arbitration progress) and true up via cumulative catch-up.
Measurement
Variable consideration from variations and claims is measured using either the expected value (probability-weighted) method or the most likely amount method, whichever better predicts the amount the contractor is entitled to, applied consistently to similar types of uncertainty. The measured amount is then constrained: only include it in the transaction price to the extent it is highly probable that a significant reversal will not occur when the uncertainty resolves, this is a higher bar than 'probable', so contested or speculative claims are typically excluded even if the contractor believes the claim has merit. Track costs incurred in pursuing/executing unpriced variations and claims separately in the accounting records, since these costs may need to be expensed as incurred, or capitalized as contract costs, before any matching revenue is recognized (creating a temporary margin drag). Subsequent measurement: re-measure the constrained transaction price each period; if a variation is subsequently formally priced/agreed, or a claim is settled/awarded, true up transaction price and revenue immediately (cumulative catch-up), not prospectively.
Presentation & disclosure
Disclose the nature and amount of significant unpriced variations and unresolved claims included in transaction price and revenue, and the judgment applied in meeting the constraint; disclose variable consideration excluded from revenue due to the constraint (contingent revenue not yet recognized), where material, as a matter of transparency even though not strictly a contract-asset; disclose the methodology used (expected value vs most likely amount) and any changes to it; disclose significant changes in transaction price during the period and how much relates to a change in the measure of progress on satisfied performance obligations; disclose customer back-charges/counterclaims netted against amounts owed, and the basis for netting.
Common mistakes
- Booking the full claimed amount to protect reported margin, ignoring the '
- highly probable no significant reversal'
- constraint
- recognizing revenue for work performed on verbal instruction with no written variation order, site instruction, or correspondence trail evidencing customer agreement
- failing to record or disclose the customer'
- s back-charges and counterclaims, presenting a one-sided net claim position
- treating an approved scope change with unresolved pricing as fully priced at the contractor'
- s proposed (not yet agreed) rate
- not re-testing the constraint each period, so a claim recognized when settlement looked likely is left in revenue even after negotiations stall or arbitration turns unfavorable.
Simple example
A contractor is delayed 8 months due to late site handover by the client on a SAR 250,000,000 infrastructure contract. The contract's delay clause entitles the contractor to recover documented prolongation costs (site overheads during the delay) evidenced by the engineer's records; the contractor also submits a disputed acceleration claim of SAR 15,000,000 that is not yet supported by independent evidence and is being contested. Based on contract clauses and the engineer's certified records, prolongation costs of SAR 6,000,000 meet the 'highly probable no significant reversal' constraint and are added to the transaction price; the SAR 15,000,000 acceleration claim does not yet meet the constraint and is excluded from revenue (disclosed as an unrecognized claim). Journal entries recognizing the additional transaction price for the certified prolongation claim (assume this increases cumulative percentage-of-completion revenue recognized in the period the claim becomes highly probable): Dr Contract asset (unbilled revenue - prolongation claim) 6,000,000 / Cr Revenue from construction contracts 6,000,000 No entry is made for the SAR 15,000,000 disputed acceleration claim; it remains an unrecognized (disclosed) contingent claim until entitlement evidence strengthens (e.g. expert determination or partial settlement).
Professional judgment
The genuine grey area is distinguishing a well-evidenced entitlement from an optimistic aspiration, since both variations and claims sit on a spectrum from 'signed change order with agreed price' (easy) to 'verbally instructed extra work with a disputed value' (hard) to 'delay/disruption claim contested in arbitration' (hardest). Key judgmental factors: whether the contract has a clear variation mechanism and whether it was followed procedurally (notice periods, written instructions); the customer's specific and general history of settling similar claims; independent expert or engineer support for the technical basis of the claim; and legal counsel's assessment of the strength of the contractual and evidentiary case. Because entitlement assessment blends commercial, legal and engineering judgment, it should not be made by finance alone, document the basis, the specific evidence relied on, and the range of possible outcomes for each material claim, and revisit at each reporting date as the dispute progresses.
Source basis
IFRS 15 · Revenue from Contracts with Customers
Paragraph references
Verified against the official standard texts used in the IFRS Expert skill.
Related issues
- IFRS 15Off-plan sales: revenue over time or at handover
- IFRS 15 / IAS 2Land swaps and revenue-sharing with landowners
- IFRS 15Long instalment plans and the financing component
- IFRS 15 / IAS 2Cancellations, defaults and repossessed units
- IFRS 15Commissions on off-plan sales
- IFRS 15Construction contract revenue and measuring progress
Educational and navigation content only. Not professional advice. Does not reproduce official IFRS/IAS text. Consult the authoritative standards and qualified professionals; professional judgment may still be required.
